Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.000673 0.000772 0.000877 0.000996 0.001127 0.001267 0.001427
2025-05-25 0.000517 0.000653 0.000808 0.000996 0.001216 0.001464 0.001763
2025-06-01 0.000418 0.000566 0.000742 0.000965 0.001238 0.001556 0.001952
2025-06-08 0.000343 0.000495 0.000685 0.000936 0.001252 0.001633 0.002121
2025-06-15 0.000297 0.000453 0.000656 0.000933 0.001293 0.001738 0.002321
2025-06-22 0.000259 0.000417 0.000631 0.000931 0.001332 0.001839 0.002515
2025-06-29 0.000225 0.000382 0.000602 0.000920 0.001355 0.001917 0.002681
2025-07-06 0.000194 0.000348 0.000571 0.000902 0.001368 0.001980 0.002826
2025-07-13 0.000179 0.000335 0.000568 0.000923 0.001431 0.002110 0.003061
2025-07-20 0.000163 0.000320 0.000561 0.000937 0.001484 0.002226 0.003280
2025-07-27 0.000144 0.000297 0.000539 0.000927 0.001502 0.002295 0.003435
2025-08-03 0.000126 0.000273 0.000514 0.000910 0.001508 0.002346 0.003566
2025-08-10 0.000116 0.000262 0.000509 0.000922 0.001559 0.002462 0.003791
2025-08-17 0.000104 0.000248 0.000498 0.000925 0.001595 0.002557 0.003990
2025-08-24 0.000089 0.000224 0.000467 0.000896 0.001580 0.002578 0.004083
2025-08-31 0.000076 0.000202 0.000440 0.000868 0.001566 0.002599 0.004176
2025-09-07 0.000068 0.000191 0.000428 0.000865 0.001590 0.002676 0.004350
2025-09-14 0.000061 0.000180 0.000417 0.000864 0.001615 0.002755 0.004527
2025-09-21 0.000053 0.000167 0.000402 0.000853 0.001625 0.002809 0.004670
2025-09-28 0.000046 0.000154 0.000384 0.000836 0.001624 0.002847 0.004788
2025-10-05 0.000043 0.000151 0.000386 0.000856 0.001683 0.002979 0.005047
2025-10-12 0.000040 0.000147 0.000385 0.000869 0.001731 0.003093 0.005283
2025-10-19 0.000035 0.000137 0.000372 0.000859 0.001740 0.003148 0.005429